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Assessment Reports Ukrainian Forces Have Reversed Russian Gains Since March

The Institute for the Study of War reported that Ukraine has neutralized Russian gains made since March, while a drone strike targeted a railway line used by a diplomatic convoy.

Published September 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT

The short answer

The Institute for the Study of War reported that Ukraine has neutralized Russian gains made since March, while a drone strike targeted a railway line used by a diplomatic convoy.

Assessment Reports Ukrainian Forces Have Reversed Russian Gains Since March

The Facts

Who
Ukrainian forces, Russian President Vladimir Putin, the Institute for the Study of War, Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt, David Petraeus, and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.
What
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported that Ukrainian forces have eliminated almost all of Russia's territorial gains from 2026, maintaining "near-zero net gains" for Moscow since March. Simultaneously, a Russian drone strike targeted a rail line on the Ukraine-Poland border shortly after a train carrying Boris Johnson and other Western officials passed through.
When
Monday, September 14, 2026
Where
Ukraine, the Ukraine-Poland border, and Delhi, India
Why
The assessment suggests a stalemate in territorial control despite ongoing Russian offensives, leading to calls for mobilization in Russia. The drone strike near the border underscores the ongoing risk to international officials and infrastructure.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported on Monday, September 14, 2026, that Ukrainian forces have reversed nearly all of Russia’s territorial gains made this year. According to the assessment, Russian forces have held "near-zero net gains since March 2026." The report stated that the situation on the ground remains dynamic and noted that Russian commanders are reportedly requesting a massive mobilization from President Vladimir Putin to regain military initiative.

On Sunday, September 13, 2026, a Russian drone struck a railway line near the Ukraine-Poland border shortly after a diplomatic train carrying former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson had passed. The train, which also carried former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt and former U.S. General David Petraeus, had departed the Yahodyn station ahead of schedule following intelligence of an impending attack. A stationary Ukrainian locomotive and a passenger train behind the diplomatic service were damaged, though no injuries were reported as the passenger train had been evacuated.

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas characterized the strike as a sign of Russian recklessness and an attempt to intimidate Western supporters of Ukraine. While a Kremlin spokesperson did not deny responsibility for the attack on Monday, they stated that Russian forces would continue operations across Ukrainian territory. Separately, regional police reported that a Russian attack on a farming warehouse in Pryluky, northern Ukraine, killed three people and injured seven others.

In diplomatic developments, Chinese President Xi Jinping skipped a gala dinner at the Brics summit in Delhi, India, as the group struggled to reach a consensus on the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. The summit eventually adopted a joint statement. Meanwhile, European leaders met in Finland for the European Arctic Summit to discuss security concerns and shipping routes as global warming increases access to the region's resources.

The drone strike near the Polish border highlights the risks to international diplomatic travel and the potential for conflict to spill toward NATO territory. The involvement of a railway line used for both passengers and high-level officials means that travelers in Western Ukraine may face increased delays, evacuations, or security screenings. Furthermore, the Kremlin's statement that it will continue operations across all of Ukraine suggests no immediate change in the frequency of strikes on infrastructure.

The Brics summit's difficulty in reaching a firm stance on the war, combined with the Arctic security discussions in Finland, shows a divide in international policy. For global markets, the Kremlin’s confirmation of a diesel export ban, intended to stabilize its domestic market, may result in fluctuations in global fuel prices. The next steps include monitoring whether President Putin approves the requested mobilization and observing the implementation of the European Arctic strategy following the summit in Rovaniemi.

Timeline of what happened

Key dates and decisions, in the order they occurred.

  1. March 1, 2026

    Start of period cited in ISW report for near-zero net Russian gains

  2. September 13, 2026

    Russian drone strike occurs near Ukraine-Poland border near diplomatic train

  3. September 14, 2026

    ISW releases assessment on territorial gains and NATO reacts to drone strike

Summaries are written by The Plain Record to state the facts of a story plainly and without political slant. Drafted with AI assistance and checked against the source record before publication. See how we report, or report a correction.

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Questions readers ask

What happened: Assessment Reports Ukrainian Forces Have Reversed Russian Gains Since March?

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported that Ukrainian forces have eliminated almost all of Russia's territorial gains from 2026, maintaining "near-zero net gains" for Moscow since March. Simultaneously, a Russian drone strike targeted a rail line on the Ukraine-Poland border shortly after a train carrying Boris Johnson and other Western officials passed through.

Who is involved?

Ukrainian forces, Russian President Vladimir Putin, the Institute for the Study of War, Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt, David Petraeus, and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

When did this happen?

Monday, September 14, 2026

Where did this happen?

Ukraine, the Ukraine-Poland border, and Delhi, India

Why does this matter?

The assessment suggests a stalemate in territorial control despite ongoing Russian offensives, leading to calls for mobilization in Russia. The drone strike near the border underscores the ongoing risk to international officials and infrastructure.