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Israeli Election Exit Polls Show Deadlock Between Netanyahu and Eisenkot Blocs

Exit polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot short of a majority in Israel’s first election since the October 7 attacks.

Published October 27, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT

The short answer

Exit polls show Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot short of a majority in Israel’s first election since the October 7 attacks. Exit polls from Israel’s legislative elections on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, indicated a political deadlock, with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his primary challenger, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, appearing to secure a governing majority.

Israeli Election Exit Polls Show Deadlock Between Netanyahu and Eisenkot Blocs

The Facts

Who
Benjamin Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot, Yair Lapid, and Israeli voters
What
Israeli General Election
When
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
Where
Israel
Why
The election serves as a referendum on Netanyahu’s wartime leadership following the October 7 attacks and determines the composition of the next Israeli government.

Exit polls from Israel’s legislative elections on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, indicated a political deadlock, with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his primary challenger, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, appearing to secure a governing majority. Major television networks reported that the 120-seat Knesset remains divided between Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc and an opposition alliance around Eisenkot’s Yashar party. Preliminary projections showed the two main blocs nearly tied, with neither reaching the 61 seats required to form a government.

The vote marked the first national election since the October 7, 2023, attacks and served as a verdict on Netanyahu’s wartime leadership. The campaign was defined by domestic security concerns and conflicts involving Hamas, Lebanon, and Iran. Netanyahu, who has served a combined 19 years in office, emphasized his wartime leadership and his alliance with U.S. President Donald Trump. Conversely, Eisenkot and opposition leader Yair Lapid characterized the results as a rejection of the current administration.

Turnout for the election reached 77.7%, the highest in more than two decades, according to the Central Elections Committee. More than 5.4 million Israelis had voted by 8 p.m. local time, and over 7 million people were eligible to participate. While exit polls from Channel 13 and Kan 11 showed the two main blocs tied at 51 seats each, an updated poll from Channel 12 placed Netanyahu’s bloc slightly ahead with 52 seats compared to 49 for Eisenkot’s bloc. Arab-led parties, which were projected to win between 17 and 18 seats, could hold a deciding role in coalition negotiations, though both major blocs have historically avoided partnering with them.

A person living in Israel will likely notice a period of political maneuvering rather than immediate changes to domestic or security policy. Because no single party has ever won 61 seats outright in the Knesset, the day-to-day administration will depend on which small factions agree to join a coalition. The outcome also carries implications for regional stability and international relations; U.S. President Donald Trump stated before the polls opened that he considered Netanyahu the only "right leader" for the unresolved conflict with Iran, suggesting that a change in leadership could alter U.S. involvement in regional military efforts.

The next steps involve the counting of official ballots, with preliminary results expected in the coming hours and final results expected within days. Following the final count, Israel's president will task the party leader with the best prospect of forming a government to begin coalition talks. Similar stalemates between 2019 and 2022 resulted in five separate elections. If a coalition is not formed, the current government remains in place until a successor is sworn in.

Timeline of what happened

Key dates and decisions, in the order they occurred.

  1. October 7, 2023

    Hamas-led attacks on Israel occur

  2. October 26, 2026

    U.K. MPs report being detained by Israeli authorities at West Bank crossing

  3. October 27, 2026

    Polls open at 7 a.m. and close at 10 p.m. local time

  4. October 27, 2026

    Major TV networks release exit polls showing a parliamentary deadlock

Summaries are written by The Plain Record to state the facts of a story plainly and without political slant. Drafted with AI assistance and checked against the source record before publication. See how we report, or report a correction.

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Questions readers ask

What happened: Israeli Election Exit Polls Show Deadlock Between Netanyahu and Eisenkot Blocs?

Exit polls from Israel’s legislative elections on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, indicated a political deadlock, with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his primary challenger, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, appearing to secure a governing majority. Major television networks reported that the 120-seat Knesset remains divided between Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc and an opposition alliance around Eisenkot’s Yashar party.

Who is involved?

Benjamin Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot, Yair Lapid, and Israeli voters

When did this happen?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Where did this happen?

Israel

Why does this matter?

The election serves as a referendum on Netanyahu’s wartime leadership following the October 7 attacks and determines the composition of the next Israeli government.