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Politics

Polling Firm Closes After Admitting to Fabricated Los Angeles Mayoral Survey

Median Strategies announced its closure after admitting a survey showing Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass leading her rival by 12 points was a fabricated 'social experiment.'

Published August 18, 2026 at 5:15 PM EDT

The short answer

Median Strategies admitted to releasing a fake poll and closed its operations. Median Strategies, a polling organization, announced it has closed its operations after admitting it published a fabricated survey concerning the Los Angeles mayoral race. The company stated on its website that the project was a "short-term social experiment" designed to test how unverified information circulates within the political environment.

Polling Firm Closes After Admitting to Fabricated Los Angeles Mayoral Survey

The Facts

Who
Median Strategies, Mayor Karen Bass, and Councilmember Nithya Raman
What
Median Strategies admitted to releasing a fake poll and closed its operations.
When
Monday and last week
Where
Los Angeles, California
Why
A polling firm admitted its data showing a double-digit lead for the Los Angeles Mayor was fabricated as a 'social experiment.'

Timeline of what happened

Key dates and decisions, in the order they occurred.

  1. June 1, 2026

    Bass and Raman advance from June jungle primary

  2. July 30, 2026

    Start of purported survey period claimed by Median Strategies

  3. August 5, 2026

    End of purported survey period claimed by Median Strategies

  4. August 17, 2026

    Los Angeles Times reports firm admitted poll was bogus

  5. November 3, 2026

    Scheduled date for the mayoral runoff election

Median Strategies, a polling organization, announced it has closed its operations after admitting it published a fabricated survey concerning the Los Angeles mayoral race. The company stated on its website that the project was a "short-term social experiment" designed to test how unverified information circulates within the political environment.

The announcement followed a report by the Los Angeles Times on Monday, which noted that the firm admitted the poll was bogus after the newspaper submitted multiple inquiries. Median Strategies stated that none of its previous releases should be considered genuine data and claimed that no individuals associated with the project received financial compensation.

The fabricated poll, released last week, claimed that Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass held a double-digit lead of nearly 12 percentage points over Councilmember Nithya Raman. The survey purported to represent the views of 560 Los Angeles voters contacted between July 30 and August 5, citing a 4.2 percent margin of error. Mayor Bass originally shared the poll results on social media but later deleted the post.

For the average Los Angeles voter, the presence of fabricated data means that the information they use to gauge the viability or momentum of candidates may not be accurate. The campaign for Mayor Bass has called for an investigation into the matter, stating that attempts to influence elections through "bad faith" should be prosecuted. This situation highlights a specific vulnerability in how campaigns and news outlets verify data from new or unfamiliar organizations, as Median Strategies reportedly had fewer than two dozen social media followers and only began posting this month.

The closure of the firm sets a precedent regarding the rapid lifecycle of disinformation campaigns that label themselves as "social experiments." The knock-on effects could include increased scrutiny of future polls by news organizations and political campaigns to prevent the spread of unverified data. Moving forward, the mayoral race proceeds toward the November 3 general election, while the campaign’s request for legal investigation remains a pending development for local law enforcement or election officials to address.

Summaries are written by The Plain Record to state the facts of a story plainly and without political slant. See our editorial standards, or report a correction.

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Questions readers ask

What happened: Polling Firm Closes After Admitting to Fabricated Los Angeles Mayoral Survey?

Median Strategies admitted to releasing a fake poll and closed its operations.

Who is involved?

Median Strategies, Mayor Karen Bass, and Councilmember Nithya Raman

When did this happen?

Monday and last week

Where did this happen?

Los Angeles, California

Why does this matter?

A polling firm admitted its data showing a double-digit lead for the Los Angeles Mayor was fabricated as a 'social experiment.'