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U.S. Halloween Spending Forecast to Reach Record $13.5 Billion Amid Higher Costs

The National Retail Federation projects record Halloween spending of $13.5 billion as consumers face rising costs for candy, costumes, and transportation.

Published October 26, 2026 at 8:51 PM EDT

The short answer

The National Retail Federation projects record Halloween spending of $13.5 billion as consumers face rising costs for candy, costumes, and transportation. Americans are expected to spend a record $13.5 billion on Halloween this year, according to data from the National Retail Federation (NRF). While total spending is projected to rise by $400 million compared to 2025, a survey from WalletHub indicates that two-thirds of U.S.

U.S. Halloween Spending Forecast to Reach Record $13.5 Billion Amid Higher Costs

The Facts

Who
National Retail Federation, PwC, WalletHub, Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute, and U.S. consumers.
What
Record Halloween spending forecast and analysis of rising costs.
When
October 2026
Where
United States
Why
Increased costs for cocoa, transportation, and fuel are driving up prices for candy and costumes, though consumer participation remains high.

Americans are expected to spend a record $13.5 billion on Halloween this year, according to data from the National Retail Federation (NRF). While total spending is projected to rise by $400 million compared to 2025, a survey from WalletHub indicates that two-thirds of U.S. consumers believe the holiday has become too expensive. The average individual is expected to spend $114.45, a figure first reached in 2025 and up from the previous record of $108.24 set in 2023.

Industry analysts attribute the rising costs to a combination of higher transportation expenses, labor, and fuel surcharges. Cortland Hickey, general manager of Chicago Costume, told CBS News that fuel surcharges and the cost of diesel for shipping pallets and truckloads are primary drivers for price increases in the costume sector. Additionally, the NRF reported that in 2025, 79% of shoppers anticipated higher prices specifically due to tariffs, which Hickey noted are now "baked into the products."

Candy costs have also reached new highs, with consumers forecast to spend $4.1 billion on treats. The Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute reported that chocolate prices are 8% higher than last year. According to FinanceBuzz, a 100-piece bag of assorted candy now averages $16.96, a 71% increase since 2021. Economists state that while global cocoa prices have fallen from recent record highs, candy makers are still using supplies purchased during 2025 price spikes caused by climate-related crop shortages in West Africa.

The financial impact is leading to shifts in consumer behavior. The NRF reported that 49% of shoppers began their holiday purchases in September or earlier to spread out costs and secure items before they sold out. While discount stores remain the most popular shopping destination for 42% of consumers, online shopping for Halloween items saw a decline from 31% in 2025 to 27% this year. Shoppers are also increasingly looking for budget-conscious alternatives, such as purchasing individual props and makeup instead of prepackaged costumes.

Consumer analysts, including Phil Lempert of the Lempert Report, expect these price trends to persist. Lempert projected that costs related to fuel and climate-affected commodities will continue to rise through 2027 and potentially 2028. While some companies, such as Hershey's, have pledged to revert to original recipes for certain products by 2027 following criticism over ingredient changes, shoppers will continue to face elevated prices for the immediate holiday seasons. Purchases for children's costumes are expected to total $1.4 billion this year, while adult costumes are projected to reach $2 billion.

Timeline of what happened

Key dates and decisions, in the order they occurred.

  1. January 1, 2023

    Previous spending record of $12.2 billion set

  2. January 1, 2024

    Halloween spending reaches $11.6 billion

  3. September 18, 2025

    NRF releases survey projecting $13.1 billion in spending

  4. October 17, 2025

    CBS reports average household expected to spend $300

  5. November 1, 2025

    U.S. tariffs on certain cocoa-producing countries removed

  6. September 2, 2026

    NRF begins consumer survey of 8,045 participants

  7. January 1, 2027

    Hershey's scheduled to revert to original recipes

Summaries are written by The Plain Record to state the facts of a story plainly and without political slant. Drafted with AI assistance and checked against the source record before publication. See how we report, or report a correction.

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Questions readers ask

What happened: U.S. Halloween Spending Forecast to Reach Record $13.5 Billion Amid Higher Costs?

Americans are expected to spend a record $13.5 billion on Halloween this year, according to data from the National Retail Federation (NRF). While total spending is projected to rise by $400 million compared to 2025, a survey from WalletHub indicates that two-thirds of U.S. consumers believe the holiday has become too expensive.

Who is involved?

National Retail Federation, PwC, WalletHub, Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute, and U.S. consumers.

When did this happen?

October 2026

Where did this happen?

United States

Why does this matter?

Increased costs for cocoa, transportation, and fuel are driving up prices for candy and costumes, though consumer participation remains high.