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Reform UK Polling Declines Following U.S. Midterm Election Results

Following U.S. midterm losses for the Republican Party, polling for Reform UK has declined to 20 percent as voters shift back to major parties.

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Published November 5, 2026 at 6:57 AM EST

The short answer

Following U.S. midterm losses for the Republican Party, polling for Reform UK has declined to 20 percent as voters shift back to major parties. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage stated on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, that he did not agree with projections that Donald Trump would face significant losses in the U.S. midterm elections.

Reform UK Polling Declines Following U.S. Midterm Election Results

The Facts

Who
Nigel Farage, Donald Trump, Reform UK, and the Democratic Party.
What
Nigel Farage's Reform UK party saw a decline in polling to 20 percent as the U.S. Republican Party suffered losses in the midterm elections.
When
Tuesday, November 3 to Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Where
United Kingdom and United States
Why
A shift in voter sentiment in both the U.S. and U.K. has led to a decline in support for populist political movements and a return to traditional two-party contests.

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage stated on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, that he did not agree with projections that Donald Trump would face significant losses in the U.S. midterm elections. Following his remarks, the Democratic Party secured majorities in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, winning in states including Kansas and Texas.

The election results coincide with a reported decrease in polling support for Reform UK. A YouGov poll released during the week of November 2, 2026, indicated that support for Reform UK has declined to approximately 20 percent, down from levels in the mid-30s recorded one year prior. The data suggests a return to a two-party contest between the Conservative and Labour parties.

In the United States, the Republican Party’s losses occurred as voters reacted to the conflict with Iran. Donald Trump now faces the prospect of impeachment hearings led by the new Democratic majorities in Congress. He is also expected to be involved in legal proceedings over the next two years, according to reports on the post-election landscape.

For residents in the U.K., these developments signal a return to traditional two-party competition between Labour and the Conservatives. The decline in Reform UK's influence may change how issues such as immigration are prioritized in the lead-up to the next general election. In the U.S., the change in congressional control means the Democratic Party now manages the legislative agenda, which will directly impact federal policy and the likelihood of impeachment proceedings against the current administration.

The next steps in the U.S. include the transition of power in the House and Senate, where Democratic majorities will be seated. Donald Trump is expected to face two years of legal proceedings. In the U.K., Prime Minister Andy Burnham has indicated that international leaders may now seek to unite on cost-of-living issues following the midterm results. The exact dates for the start of impeachment hearings or future U.K. electoral contests were not reported.

Timeline of what happened

Key dates and decisions, in the order they occurred.

  1. 2025

    Reform UK reaches peak polling levels in the mid-30s.

  2. November 3, 2026

    Nigel Farage predicts Donald Trump will not face major losses.

  3. November 4, 2026

    U.S. midterm results show Democrats winning House and Senate majorities.

Summaries are written by The Plain Record to state the facts of a story plainly and without political slant. Drafted with AI assistance and checked against the source record before publication. See how we report, or report a correction.

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Questions readers ask

What happened: Reform UK Polling Declines Following U.S. Midterm Election Results?

Nigel Farage's Reform UK party saw a decline in polling to 20 percent as the U.S. Republican Party suffered losses in the midterm elections.

Who is involved?

Nigel Farage, Donald Trump, Reform UK, and the Democratic Party.

When did this happen?

Tuesday, November 3 to Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Where did this happen?

United Kingdom and United States

Why does this matter?

A shift in voter sentiment in both the U.S. and U.K. has led to a decline in support for populist political movements and a return to traditional two-party contests.